When Baylor opened as a 20.5-point favorite against Oklahoma State, it raised more than a few eyebrows. That spread isn’t just big, it’s historically bad for this Oklahoma State team. It marks the third-largest point spread for a team against OSU at home in the history of the program. For a team that once prided itself on being a consistent Big 12 contender, this is more than just a betting line. It’s a red flag in a season of all time lows only being 3 games into the season.
The Cowboys aren’t just underdogs—they’re unraveling.
Last week’s 34-17 home loss to Tulsa, a team the Cowboys were expected to beat, sent shockwaves through Stillwater. It wasn’t just a loss—it was a collapse, and it turned a disappointing start into what now looks like a full-blown crisis. Fans left Boone Pickens Stadium not just frustrated, but defeated. Hope is draining fast, if there's any left at all.
This line isn’t just about Baylor’s strength—it’s about Oklahoma State’s fall. Historically, oddsmakers have given the Cowboys the benefit of the doubt in Stillwater, even in down years. But not this time. This number says loud and clear: Oklahoma State can't be trusted to compete in the Big 12 right now.
As programs like Iowa State, Texas Tech, and even Utah are showing signs of life to the top of the Big 12 conference rankings, OSU is sinking. The Tulsa loss didn’t just affect the team's record—it’s changed the perception of what Oklahoma State football is right now. And that perception is reflected in the spread. Baylor's high flying offense will cause a lot of trouble for this defense and finding answers will be a challenge all game long.
And to make matter worse, this spread might not be done moving. As kickoff approaches, don’t be surprised if that 20.5 balloons even further. Bettors and analysts alike have seen what’s happening in Stillwater, and they’re not buying a bounce-back. Not this week. The Oregon game was a foreshadow of how Oklahoma State matches up against better competition. Although Baylor isn't up to the same status as Oregon, they should have their way with how good their roster is and how they have played against some solid teams to start their season.
For Oklahoma State, this isn’t just another Saturday. It’s a litmus test. Because if the Cowboys can’t show fight—even at home—against a conference rival, then this season may already be lost.